Predicting strategic change of public research institutions under unstable negative growth

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Title:

Predicting strategic change of public research institutions under unstable negative growth

Description:

WP 09/2009; The purpose of this paper is to forecast and analyse, by a demographic perspective, the organizational behaviour of public research labs. The research focuses on the biggest Italian public research body. Demographic models of growth, based on different human resource policies, show the uncertain and retrogressive evolutionary change of Italian public research bodies that would halve their research personnel over the forecast horizon. These results provide vital information to the public management about the weaknesses and environmental threats in order to support decisions for improving the strategic change and survival of public research institutions over time.

Creator:

Mario Coccia

Publisher:

CNR Ceris

Date:

2009

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